AI Card Predictions Today

Matches with an appointed referee, sorted by expected cards. The model combines the referee’s card rate with both teams’ discipline; the grey figure is the league average. All referees →

How accurate these predictions are →

Today · 24.09

DateMatchRefereeExp. cardsOver 3.5Over 4.5Both bookedPenaltyRed cardOdds o3.5 / o4.5
18:45Kosovo – Rep. Of IrelandUEFA Nations League Lawrence Visser 6.04.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%— / 1.66
16:00Andorra – MaltaUEFA Nations League Joey Kooij 5.14.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.72 / 2.15
18:45Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League Ante Čulina 4.54.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%— / 2.00
18:45Serbia – GreeceUEFA Nations League Glenn Nyberg 4.34.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.54 / 2.08
18:45Austria – IsraelUEFA Nations League Georgi Nikolov Kabakov 4.14.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.70 / 2.32
18:45Norway – DenmarkUEFA Nations League Tobias Stieler 3.44.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%2.00 / 3.23

Tomorrow · 25.09

DateMatchRefereeExp. cardsOver 3.5Over 4.5Both bookedPenaltyRed cardOdds o3.5 / o4.5
00:30Atletico Nacional – MillonariosPrimera A Diego Ulloa Angulo 6.06.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
23:10Chico – Deportivo PastoPrimera A Javier Alonso Villa Zapata 5.66.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
23:30Vila Nova – LondrinaSerie B Afro Rocha De Carvalho Filho 5.45.2 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
18:45Sweden – RomaniaUEFA Nations League Ondrej Berka 5.14.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.62 / 2.23
22:30Novorizontino – São BernardoSerie B Lucas Canetto Bellote 4.85.2 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%— / 1.80
18:45Galway United – ShelbournePremier Division R. Hennessey 4.84.8 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
18:45Poland – Bosnia & HerzegovinaUEFA Nations League Anastasios Papapetrou 4.44.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.89 / 3.13
18:45Hungary – UkraineUEFA Nations League Jarred Gillett 4.44.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.68 / 2.24
18:45Türkiye – FranceUEFA Nations League Felix Zwayer 4.24.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.99 / 2.93
16:00Armenia – LatviaUEFA Nations League Martin Matoša 3.94.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
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Expected cards based on both teams’ discipline and the league average. The referee is usually appointed 1–3 days before kick-off.

DateMatchExp. cardsCards/game in their matches (home – away)Over 3.5Over 4.5
25.09 01:00Alebrijes de Oaxaca – CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX 6.45.5 6.6 – 6.8 ●●%●●%
25.09 01:00Mineros de Zacatecas – PiratasLiga de Expansión MX 6.15.5 6.0 – 6.4 ●●%●●%
25.09 21:15ABB – AuroraCopa de la División Profesional 5.85.5 6.0 – 6.4 ●●%●●%
25.09 19:00San Antonio Bulo Bulo – Real PotosíCopa de la División Profesional 5.45.5 4.8 – 6.3 ●●%●●%
25.09 23:30Nacional Potosí – Always ReadyCopa de la División Profesional 5.05.5 5.2 – 5.3 ●●%●●%
25.09 22:00Nacional Asuncion – Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Clausura 5.04.7 5.1 – 5.1 ●●%●●%
25.09 17:00Atlético Madrid II – Villarreal IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 4.94.5 5.7 – 4.2 ●●%●●%
25.09 19:30Sportivo Luqueno – Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Clausura 4.84.7 4.9 – 4.9 ●●%●●%
25.09 19:15Ibiza – ZaragozaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 4.74.5 3.4 – 6.5 ●●%●●%
25.09 18:30Girona – AlbaceteSegunda División 4.75.2 4.6 – 4.4 ●●%●●%
24.09 23:30Everton de Vina – Universidad de ChileCopa Chile 4.64.5 6.2 – 5.6 ●●%●●%
24.09 18:45Caen – RouenLigue 3 4.64.2 4.8 – 4.7 ●●%●●%
25.09 18:45UCD – Bray WanderersFirst Division 4.54.6 5.6 – 5.8 ●●%●●%
25.09 02:00Costa Rica – CuraçaoCONCACAF Nations League 4.54.1 4.4 – 4.1 ●●%●●%
25.09 23:00Hartford Athletic – Louisville CityUSL Championship 4.44.8 4.6 – 3.8 ●●%●●%
25.09 23:30Sporting JAX – Loudoun UnitedUSL Championship 4.44.8 4.0 – 4.7 ●●%●●%
25.09 18:45Ayr Utd – StenhousemuirChampionship 4.34.3 4.5 – 4.5 ●●%●●%
25.09 18:45Raith Rovers – LivingstonChampionship 4.24.3 4.2 – 4.0 ●●%●●%
25.09 18:45Inverness CT – MortonChampionship 4.14.3 3.8 – 4.1 ●●%●●%
25.09 18:45Arbroath – Queen's ParkChampionship 4.14.3 4.6 – 4.0 ●●%●●%
25.09 16:00KäPa – HakaYkkösliiga 3.83.9 4.1 – 3.7 ●●%●●%
25.09 11:00Wuxi Wugou – Guangxi HengchenLeague One 3.63.8 3.8 – 3.2 ●●%●●%
25.09 15:30Kooteepee – MPYkkösliiga 3.53.9 3.7 – 3.0 ●●%●●%
25.09 19:00Dordrecht – Almere City FCEerste Divisie 3.43.4 4.5 – 2.8 ●●%●●%
25.09 19:00Algeria – ZambiaAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification 3.43.3 3.4 – 3.7 ●●%●●%
25.09 18:45Larne – Dungannon SwiftsPremiership 3.23.2 2.8 – 3.6 ●●%●●%
25.09 13:30Slonim – BATE II1. Division 3.13.3 2.6 – 2.0 ●●%●●%
25.09 23:30Lexington W – Dallas Trinity WUSL Super League 2.93.0 3.6 – 3.2 ●●%●●%
25.09 18:45Coleraine FC – LinfieldPremiership 2.73.2 2.0 – 3.2 ●●%●●%
25.09 22:30Racing Louisville W – San Diego Wave WNWSL Women 2.42.9 2.1 – 3.0 ●●%●●%

How the numbers are calculated

Cards = yellow and red cards shown to players during 90 minutes (a second yellow counts as a yellow plus a red, as most bookmakers settle). Cards for coaches and substitutes on the bench and cards in extra time are excluded. Penalties = penalties awarded during the match (shoot-outs excluded). “vs league” compares the referee with the average of the exact league seasons this referee worked, so a referee from a card-heavy league is not called strict just because of the league.

Data: official match events and statistics (API-Sports), updated daily.

FAQ

How are the card predictions calculated?

The model combines the appointed referee’s card rate (compared with the leagues he or she works in) with both teams’ disciplinary record, pulled toward the league average when there is little data. It is tested on more than 22,000 matches.

When is the referee known?

Appointments are usually published 1–3 days before kick-off. Until then we show expected cards based on the two teams only; the list updates every few hours.

Which card markets do you cover?

Total cards over 3.5 and 4.5, both teams booked, penalty awarded and red card. A second yellow counts as a yellow plus a red, as with most bookmakers; cards for coaches and in extra time are not counted.